1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.002 1.01
## LDevsum 1.008 1.04
## dh0 1.008 1.04
## dh1 0.999 1.00
## dh2 1.011 1.05
## dh3 1.004 1.01
## dl0 1.003 1.02
## dl1 1.001 1.01
## dl2 1.009 1.04
## dl3 1.000 1.00
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.02
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1208.52394 | 22169.09 |
| DIC3 | 1150.91711 | 22191.43 |
| PWAIC | 41.97006 | 244.77 |
| WAIC | 1177.48763 | 22213.35 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.01 1.02
## dh0 1.02 1.02
## dh1 1.01 1.03
## dh2 1.02 1.04
## dh3 1.02 1.02
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.01
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H4 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1347.81427 |
| DIC3 | 1234.56801 |
| PWAIC | 85.41017 |
| WAIC | 1299.53354 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum 1.00 1.00
## dl0 1.00 1.01
## dl1 1.01 1.03
## dl2 1.01 1.03
## dl3 1.00 1.00
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.01
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L4 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22283.8370 |
| DIC3 | 22301.6761 |
| PWAIC | 313.6685 |
| WAIC | 22337.1349 |